关键词:
长短期记忆网络(LSTM)
股价预测
时间序列分析
平安银行
深度学习
摘要:
本文探讨了应用长短期记忆网络(LSTM)模型在平安银行股价波动特征分析及预测中的可行性。随着金融市场复杂性和动态性的增加,传统时间序列预测方法面临诸多挑战。LSTM作为一种深度学习方法,因其在处理长时间依赖关系方面的优势,成为股票价格预测研究中的重要工具。首先,本文对平安银行的历史股价数据进行了分析,提取了趋势、季节性和随机波动等时间序列特征。基于这些特征,设计并构建了LSTM模型,并通过训练集和测试集对模型进行验证和评估。实验结果表明,LSTM模型在平安银行股价预测中具有较高的准确性和稳健性。与传统的ARIMA模型和简单神经网络相比,LSTM模型能更有效地捕捉股价的非线性动态特征,显著提高了预测精度。同时,通过对模型输出的可视化分析,进一步验证了LSTM在时间序列预测中的优势。本文的研究为基于LSTM的股价预测提供了新的方法,具有重要的理论意义和实用价值。未来研究可以进一步优化模型结构,结合更多外部因素,如宏观经济指标和行业信息,以提升预测性能和应用范围。This paper discusses the feasibility of using the Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) model in the analysis and prediction of the stock price fluctuation characteristics of Ping An Bank. As the complexity and dynamics of financial markets increase, traditional time series forecasting methods face many challenges. As a deep learning method, LSTM has become an important tool in stock price prediction research due to its advantages in dealing with long-term dependencies. Firstly, this paper analyzes the historical stock price data of Ping An Bank, and extracts the time series characteristics such as trend, seasonality, and random fluctuations. Based on these characteristics, the LSTM model was designed and constructed, and the model was verified and evaluated by the training set and the test set. Experimental results show that the LSTM model has high accuracy and robustness in the stock price prediction of Ping An Bank. Compared with the traditional ARIMA model and simple neural network, the LSTM model can more effectively capture the nonlinear dynamic characteristics of stock prices, and significantly improve the prediction accuracy. At the same time, through the visual analysis of the model output, the advantages of LSTM in time series prediction are further verified. The research in this paper provides a new method for stock price prediction based on LSTM, which has important theoretical significance and practical value. Future research can further optimize the model structure and combine more external factors, such as macroeconomic indi